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Ghana set to be world’s fastest growing economy this year, according to the IMF

Ghana; Ghana - fastest growing economy in the world in 2019
Sunday, May 26, 2019

By Charlotte Edmond

Just 3 decades ago, Ghana was in crisis; impoverished and suffering famine, it was on the verge of economic collapse. Fast-forward to the present day, the West African nation has staged a remarkable comeback and is predicted to be the world’s fastest growing economy in 2019.

Real GDP growth - Annual percent change

Long known as one of the world’s largest cocoa producers, Ghana’s growth is now being buoyed by a different commodity: oil. Expanding crude production and rising prices have placed Ghana’s economy at the top of the gross domestic product (GDP) growth tables. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates GDP will rise 8.8 percent this year – double the pace of emerging economies as a whole, and well ahead of world growth.

World Economic Outlook - April 9 2019

While Ghana’s prosperity is closely tied to the oil markets, it remains one of the largest exporters of gold in the world, and cocoa is also still a significant product, as the chart below demonstrates.

Ghana's exports

Image: Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC)

But it’s not just Ghana’s resources that are driving the economic uptick. Under a stable democracy, government initiatives to formalize the economy and introduce a more favorable taxation structure are starting to bear fruit, the IMF says. Its once floundering manufacturing industry is also being helped through policies aimed at diversifying the economy and preventing an over-reliance on the commodity markets.

But despite its blossoming economy, Ghana’s GDP per capita is roughly half that of emerging and developing economies, according to the IMF. Unemployment is also marginally above the rate for sub-Saharan Africa.

With fellow West African nations Mauritania and Senegal both looking to make good on their own recent oil and gas discoveries, eyes will be on Ghana to convert its oil boom into sustainable growth.

Source: World Economic Forum

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