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Election 2012: Obama leads Romney 50-42

Friday, May 11, 2012

President Barack Obama’s popularity among women, minorities and independents is giving him an early edge over his likely Republican rival, Mitt Romney, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll.

The nationwide poll of 1,004 adults comes as Romney is focusing heavily on fundraising after gaining endorsements from of all but one of his Republican primary rivals, and conservative voters are reminding politicians of their muscle. Republicans in Indiana on Tuesday ousted a six-term senator accused of being too friendly to Obama, and North Carolina voters overwhelmingly approved a constitutional ban on same-sex marriage.

The Democratic president also earned strong marks on empathy, sincerity, likeability and social issues. But Americans are split over which candidate can best handle the economy, which might open pathways for Romney six months before the November presidential election.

Half of registered voters say they would back Obama in November, while 42 per cent favor Romney, the AP-GfK poll found. About a quarter of voters indicated they are persuadable, meaning they are undecided or could change their minds before Election Day.

Forty-one per cent of voters say they are certain to vote for Obama, and 32 per cent say they are locked in for Romney.

On Wednesday, however, Obama endorsed gay marriage, a sign that he is eager to fire up young and liberal voters even if it costs him some support in battleground states such as North Carolina, which he narrowly won in 2008.

In the AP-GfK poll, Americans give Obama an edge over Romney on numerous attributes, but handling the economy is a key exception. The public is divided over whether Obama or Romney would do a better job on the issue that strategists say will dominate the general election. Forty-six per cent prefer Obama on this topic, and 44 per cent prefer Romney.

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