Antigua & Barbuda: Latest CADRES poll suggests that ALP will defeat UPP in elections

The Barbados-based Caribbean Development Research Services (CADRES) is predicting that the main opposition Antigua Labor Party (ALP) is on track to win the June 12 general elections.

CADRES released the findings of its poll in 3 opposition held ridings which it described as the weakest based on the results of the 2009 elections. CADRES said that it also intends to poll the 3 “weakest” seats held by the ruling United Progressive Party (UPP) of Prime Minister Baldwin Spencer.

“It is our contention that these 6 seats are effectively the most marginal for both parties and either parties success in these would be indicative of a likely victory overall,” CADRES said.
The pollsters found that the opposition party is maintaining its position in the St. Mary’s North, St. John’s Rural East and St. John’s Rural South ridings.

Further analysis of the poll indicates that the ALP continues to improve its positions in these ridings from 3 to 7 percent.

“CADRES is of the opinion that these individual swings demonstrate a general trend in the election which supports the contention that the electorate is moving towards the ALP and away from the UPP which would mean that the ALP is unlikely to lose any seat it currently holds,” CADRES said. -(CMC)