Zimbabwe presidential election: Mnangagwa lead narrows in the polls, as Chamisa surges

AFP | Zimbabwe’s incumbent President Emmerson Mnangagwa has only a narrow lead over opposition leader Nelson Chamisa ahead of the country’s landmark elections on July 30, according to a poll released Friday.

The Afrobarometer poll put Mnangagwa on 40 percent and Chamisa on 37 percent and said there was now a “reasonable possibility” the opposition champion could win after a spurt in popularity.
Mnangagwa’s advantage narrowed to 3 percentage points from 11 points in early May.

With less than 2 weeks to go before Zimbabwe’s first elections since the resignation of Robert Mugabe, about a 5th of voters still are undecided, the poll said.

The survey’s 2,400 respondents expressed concern over disputed count or the military stepping in, it added.

The military triggered Mugabe’s resignation last year after generals briefly took power and ushered his former ally Mnangagwa to power.

The election pits Mnangagwa, of the ruling Zanu-PF party, against Chamisa of the opposition MDC party.

“The MDC would have to obtain about two-thirds of undeclared votes in order to secure a first-round victory in the presidential election,” Afrobarometer said.

“In our opinion, this prospect lies within the realm of reasonable possibility.” It added that most Zimbabweans still thought Mnangagwa would emerge victorious.

More than 4 in 10 people expressed concern that incorrect election results would be announced, that the armed forces would not respect the result or that post-election violence would occur.

A run-off vote is scheduled for September 8 if no candidate wins at least 50 percent plus one of the vote in the first round.