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Jamaica election update: Andrew Holness slightly ahead of Portia Simpson-Miller
Jamaica Prime Minister., Andrew Holness
It’s still too close to call, but it appears that the Jamaica Labor Party (JLP) and Andrew Holness have more of the popular support than the Portia Simpson-Miller led People’s National Party (PNP). However, the lead is so small, only optimists, gamblers could eloquently predict the outcome of the election. The parties are so close in the polls that the JLP and the PNP smell like each other.
The Gleaner-Bill Johnson polls put the JLP and Holness ahead by a nose, with 31 percent of respondents indicating that they would most definitely vote for the JLP, while 29 percent reported that the PNP would get their vote. This is the most important statistic, despite the numbers being augmented by a set of people who stated that they would ‘probably vote’ for each. This category would give the JLP an additional five and the PNP three percentage points, respectively, for totals of 36 for the JLP and 32 for the PNP. A marginal of error of four per cent puts this into a statistical tie.