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South Africa: President Jacob Zuma on track for re-election

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

South African President Jacob Zuma. PHOTO/File

As the labor unrest in the mining sector in South Africa eases, a politically battered but defiant President Jacob Zuma battered still looks likely to beat his rivals to win a party leadership election in December.

With most strikers in gold and platinum mines returning to work after threats of dismissal and some sweeteners on pay, Mr. Zuma appears to be weathering the biggest threat so far to his plans to stay on as leader of the ruling African National Congress (ANC). The overall waning of the strikes has given Zuma political room to marshal the support he needs to carry the internal election in December – despite a lingering threat rivals might join forces to oust him.

“The sentiment seems to be coalescing around Zuma’s re-election bid, with it appearing for now that the worst is over for the strikes,” independent political analyst Nic Borain said.

“But this does not address the fundamental issues that have changed as a result of the strikes: that a mass, African, working-class constituency has emerged in our politics that is potentially hostile to the ANC and its alliance partners.”

Although gold miners have returned to work, some strikers at world No. 1 platinum producer Anglo American Platinum are still refusing to go back to work, despite a company offer to reinstate them.

Zuma was in defensive but confident form when he met reporters, giving them a rare briefing on Monday in which he rebuffed suggestions by his own deputy that the events surrounding the industrial unrest were a national “tipping point”.

“South Africa is not at a tipping point,” he said. “I think South Africa is on the move, moving forward.

“Strikes in a democracy are a common occurrence,” he added. “It’s way too exaggerated to say that because there are strikes, South Africa is in a big crisis.”

He chastised the media for rushing to identify splits and divisions in the ANC, saying its leadership process was a part of South Africa’s democracy and was following its normal course.

No challenger has yet declared for a vote to be held among 4,500 delegates meeting on December 16-20 at Mangaung, though it will be at least another month before the nominees are decided.

But Zuma, who unseated then president Thabo Mbeki in a bitter battle for the ANC leadership in 2007, seems already to have locked up the necessary support at provincial branch level.

Retaining the ANC leadership would put Zuma in line to win a second five-year term as national president in 2014.

Source: Reuters

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