Regional Powers may intervene
West Africa’s regional bloc – the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) – has put standby forces on alert in case Gambian president Yahya Jammeh does not step down when his mandate ends on January 19, ECOWAS commission president Marcel de Souza said.
Jammeh has vowed to stay in power despite losing a December 1 election to rival Adama Barrow, raising the possibility that regional powers may intervene to oust him if diplomacy does not succeed in persuading him to leave.
“We have put standby forces on alert if he does not step down on January 19 when his mandate ends,” De Souza said on Malian state television on Thursday evening.
“No one has the right to oppose the will of the people.”
Barrow’s surprise victory and Jammeh’s initial decision to concede after 22 years in power was seen across Africa as a moment of hope. But the Jammeh changed his mind a week later and said again on Tuesday that he would not step down, rebuffing efforts by West African leaders to persuade him.
Jammeh’s camp could not immediately be reached for comment, but he has said the electoral count was flawed and that ECOWAS has no right to meddle in Gambia’s internal affairs.
The regional bloc has mandated Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari as mediator to offer Jammeh an “honorable exit”, but if he does not take it then forces might be deployed, De Souza said.
De Souza as saying in an interview with reporters, that Senegalese troops would lead any military intervention. Senegal is Gambia’s only territorial neighbor and has a frequently stormy relationship with the country, having sent troops there during a 1981 coup attempt.
Senegal has indicated that military action would be an absolute last resort.
Diplomats say ECOWAS would probably seek approval from the U.N. Security Council for the use of force. ECOWAS deployed troops to Liberia and Sierra Leone during civil wars in the 1990s, setting a precedent for possible intervention.
A first step for raising pressure once the handover date passes is likely to be targeted sanctions by the U.N. and others, diplomats say, also raising the possibility that Jammeh could be offered asylum abroad.
Barrow’s supporters suggested on Thursday that Jammeh might not immediately be prosecuted for alleged human rights abuses during his time in office.
“Justice is absolutely essential, but we are going to take the route to truth and reconciliation,” said coalition spokesman Halifa Sallah at a meeting with the African Bar Association.
Gambia’s Supreme Court will hear a legal challenge on January 10 from Jammeh’s ruling party which wants to overturn the election result.